2012-2016 China's securities industry market trends and investment risk assessment report ----------------------------------- - [Report No. 102239 [publishing] industry Institute of Economic Research [Published] September 2012 [report format] paper version: 6500 yuan [electronic version]: 6800 yuan [paper + electronic】: 7000 【Delivery The way] Speedpost / E-MAIL [Order Tel] 010-83928809 010-52876950 【Customer Service: QQ】 2697021579 【Contact】 Li Jun [corporate website] http://www.cyjjyjy.com/jinrongbaogao/qita/102239. html (Click to view text) [Contents] Chapter Overview of the development of China's securities industry analysis 14 13 Section I of the securities industry developments 13 Section II China's securities industry economic indicators, profit 14 two, three growth speed of 24 value-added room for improvement 25 four barriers to entry / exit mechanism 26 five risk 30 six industry cycle 35 seven competitive level indicators 36 eight current judge of the industry the development belongs cycle stage analysis 39 37 Section III of the development of related industries, operation of the national economy in GDP40 two, the consumer price index CPI PPI41 three, four national resident income 48 49 five Engel coefficient, industrial development situation 51 fixed assets investment of 52, the financial situation of the 56 eight, China's exchange rate adjustment nine of 59, the benchmark deposit and lending interest rates adjust 10 62 11 total retail sales of social consumer goods 64 Foreign Trade & Import and Export 67 22, the international economic environment and trend analysis 13 Section I Overview of Contents Chapter 70 report the development of Chinese securities industry securities industry in the development of 13 Section II China's securities industry analysis of economic indicators 14 profitable 14 Second, the growth speed of 24 value-added room for improvement 25 Fourth, the barriers to entry / exit mechanism 26 five risk 30 industry cycles 35 competitive level indicators 36 eight current judgment of the industry the development belongs cycle stage 37 in section III of the development of related industries 39 a GDP40 two of the operation of the national economy, the consumer price index CPI, PPI41 national residents' income to 48 Engel coefficient 49 five industrial development situation 51 six, 52 seven of investment in fixed assets, the financial situation of the 56 eight Chinese exchange rate adjustment 59 nine, the benchmark deposit and lending interest rate adjustment 10 62 11 total retail sales of social consumer goods 64 foreign Trade & Import and Export 67 22, the international economic environment and trend analysis 70 Chapter II international comparative analysis of China's securities industry 84 Section I of China's securities industry competitiveness index analysis of 85 first international comparative analysis of 84 Section II China's securities industry economic indicators three global securities industry, market demand analysis 86, 86 two of the status of market size, demand structure analysis 87 Market outlook 87 the global securities industry, market supply analysis of 90 in the fourth quarter, the status quo of 90 two production scale, market price movements of 91 three of supply and demand analysis, key vendors distributed applications and industry 91 Chapter 92 Section I demand analysis 92 a securities industry demand market 92 two securities industry clients structure 93 Third, the regional differences of the demand for the securities industry 94 Section II supply analysis 94 95 a section III of the supply and demand balance analysis and future trends, the securities industry trend analysis of 95 106 Section I of the securities industry supply forecast 104 Section IV of the market price trend analysis 105 Chapter securities industry chain analysis the upstream industry development analysis 106 Section II of the downstream industry development analysis 106 Section III of the upstream and downstream industries associated with impact analysis 109 Chapter Five regional market conditions depth analysis of 110 first section of the Yangtze River Delta region market situation analysis 110 Section II of the Pearl River Delta regional market situation analysis 110 Section III of the Bohai Rim regional market analysis 111 Section V of the 110 Section IV securities industry market large area development and competitiveness of major provinces and cities in the degree of concentration and the competitive mode analysis 111 Chapter 2012-2016 demand forecast analysis of 112 first section of the field of securities industry demand forecast in 2012-2016 112 Section II 2012-2016 demand for products in the field of securities industry (service) product (service) market demand forecast in the field of securities industry 112 Section III 2012-2016 pattern predicted 116 of Chapter VII of the securities market competition pattern analysis 121 Section I of the competition in the industry structure analysis of 121 existing inter-enterprise competition 121 5 123 four 122 three alternatives threat analysis, supplier negotiation capabilities 123 potential entrants 124 Section II of the customer bargaining power industry concentration analysis 125 Section III industry international competitiveness of 128, 128 two factors of production, demand conditions 128 Three 128 four, support and related industries, corporate strategy, structure and competition status 128 V. 129 Section IV of the role of government securities industry competitiveness of enterprises analysis of 129 key enterprises Total assets comparative analysis of two 129 key enterprises in full-year operating income compared 134 three key enterprises total profit of 138 Section V securities industry comparative analysis The competitive landscape analysis of the 143 CHAPTER ranking of the major producers and industrial structure analysis of 145 first section of industries and enterprises ranked 145 Section II analysis of 149 industrial structure, market segmentation analysis of the full extent of the 149 two segments market leader ranked 149 three, each segment of the total 149 Section III of the proportion of the market structure of the industry value chain structure analysis and industry chain's overall competitive advantage analysis 151, constitute 151 of the industry value chain, competitive advantages and disadvantages of the industrial chain analysis of 152 Section IV development forecast 156 industrial structure, the direction of government industrial restructuring the industry guidance policy analysis (investment policy, foreign policy, restrictive policies) 156 two securities industry in China to participate in international competition, strategic market positioning 157 Chapter IX China's securities industry key enterprises 165 165 Section I CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. Company Profile 165 II, analysis of the operating conditions of 165 three ,2011-2012 analysis of 166 four competitive advantage, the company dynamic 166 Section II Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. 166 I. Company Profile 167 II, competitive advantage analysis of 167 three ,2011-2012 Analysis of operating results 168 News 169 Section III, 169 a Huatai Securities Co., Ltd., Company Profile 169 II competitive advantage analysis 170 the 2011-2012 operating conditions 170 four News 171 Section IV GF Securities Co., Ltd. 171 Company Profile 171 II Competitive Advantage of the operating conditions of 172 three ,2011-2012 analysis of 172 Fourth, dynamic 173 Fifth Festival China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. 173 a Company Profile 173 II, competitive advantage analysis 174 three ,2011-2012 Analysis of operating conditions of 174 News 174 Section VI Everbright Securities Co., Ltd. 175 I. About 175 two competition advantage analysis of 175 three ,2011-2012 Analysis of operating results 175 News 176 CHAPTER 10 indicators of China securities industry as a whole by 177 Section I of the overall size of China's securities industry analysis 177 Section II of the manufacture and sale of the securities industry analysis 177 Third Festival Chinese securities industry and financial indicators overall analysis of the key trends affecting the production and operation of enterprises in 178 Chapter 181 Section I of the growth trend of market consolidation 181 Section II demand trends and new business opportunities forecast 181 Section III Enterprise regional marketing Section V 182 Section IV of the trend of research and development trend of and alternative technical progress of 182 Chinese securities industry SWOT analysis 183 Chapter XII, 2012-2016, the investment value of the securities industry to assess favorable and unfavorable factors analysis of 188 first section of industry development analysis Exhibit 1 January to December 2011, the stock turnover 14 188 Section II industrial development gaps analysis 190 Section III new entrants should be noted that the obstacle to the factors in section IV 190 marketing analysis and marketing model recommended 194 chart catalog chart 22011 stock trading volume from January to December 15 Chart 3 the third quarter of 2009 to the fourth quarter of 2011, the scale of Chinese enterprises IPO chart 16 42002-2011 scale of Chinese enterprises in global capital markets IPO territory of the Chinese enterprises in 2011 17 Figure 5 of the top ten 18 Exhibit 6 2002 Nian ~ 2011 Nian IPO financing scale Chinese enterprises territory IPO 19 Chart 7 2011 Nian A shares on the first day broken hair rate compared with the issue price-earnings ratio 19 Exhibit 8 2002 Nian ~ 2011 Nian Chinese enterprises overseas IPO 20 chart 92011 years major creditor Issue 22 Exhibit 10 economic cycles and industry analysis 35 Exhibit 11 securities industry industry industry where 37 charts 12 industry life cycle diagram life cycle strategy and its characteristic 39 Chart 13 2006-2011 11 China's GDP and its growth speed 40 Chart 14 2008-2011 China CPI, PPI run trend unit:% 41 charts 15 October 2001 -2011 in October consumer price index (the same month last year = 100) 44 Exhibit 16 residents in the consumer price index (2011 October) Chart 45 17 October 2011 consumer price data 46 charts 18 October 2011 the decline in the national consumer prices rose chart 47 19 2006-2011 11 per capita net income of rural residents in China, its growth rate of 48 Chinese urban and rural residents, the Engel coefficient comparison table chart of China's urban residents per capita disposable income and its growth rate in November 202006-2011 211978-2010 49 Chart 50 Chart 22 2008-2011 investment in fixed assets Graph:% 53 Exhibit 23 2011 cumulative year-on-year growth rate of urban fixed asset investment of units:% 54 charts 24 2001 1-10 January 2011 from January to October, fixed asset investment in the amount of the monthly cumulative year-on-year growth rate (%) 55 Exhibit 25 financial institutions RMB benchmark deposit interest rate changes and the list of 62 charts 26 financial institutions RMB benchmark lending interest rate changes in the list of 63 Exhibit 27, 2008-2011, China's total retail sales of social consumer goods Graph Unit: billion% 65 charts of social consumer goods 282 001 10 -2011 Oct. monthly year-on-year growth rate of total retail sales (%) 2008-2011 67 Figure 29 Import and Export Graph:% 68 charts 30 October 2001 - 2011 total exports in October monthly year-on-year growth rate of total imports of monthly year-on-year growth rate (% ) 70 Chart 31 GDP quarter-on-quarter in the United States since 2008 than the growth rate of unit:% 70 charts 32 U.S. GDP, consumption, investment and exports fold per annum quarter, an increase of unit:% 71 Chart 33 2008-2011 Q2 factors for U.S. economic growth contribution (unit:%) 71 Exhibit 34 U.S. industrial output growth and production capacity utilization rate change (unit:%) Chart 72 November 35, 2008-2011, U.S. CPI & PPI trends (unit:%) Chart 73 3608 in November Unit of the U.S. monthly unemployment rate - November 2011:% 74 Exhibit 37 EU 16 countries the GDP quarter of year-over-year growth rate of unit: 75 Chart 38 2008-2011 June the euro zone, Germany, France, Italy industrial output on a monthly change (unit:%) 76 chart 392008 11 January 2011, November Eurozone CPI, PPI rose change (unit:%) 76 Exhibit 40 EU 16 unemployment rate rate changes:% 77 Chart 41 2008-2011 the third quarter of Japan's real GDP (seasonally adjusted) than the annual rate of change (Unit:%) 78 Chart 42 Japan's industrial output in January 2011 - June 2011 79 Chart 43 changes in CPI growth in November 2009-2011 (Unit: %) 80 Chart 44 2009-2011 11 Japan's unemployment rate change (unit:%) 80 chart 45 2011 the fourth quarter of the world's major stock index performance 86 Chart 46 2011-2012 CSI cumulative transaction volume analysis of 95 charts 47 2012 - 2016 CSI 104 Chart 48 2012-2016 China's securities industry price growth forecast cumulative transaction volume growth forecast analysis to analyze 105 Chart 49 listed companies as of the end of 2011, 12, 106 Chart 50 listed stocks as of the end of 2011, 12-float market capitalization 107 charts 51 different types of funds in the fourth quarter of 2011 average position change 109 chart 52 securities companies in 2010 the regional distribution of the 111 Chart 53 2012-2016 China's securities industry, the size of the market growth prediction analysis 112 chart 54 securities industry environment, "Porter five force "analysis model 121 chart 55 2010 the total assets of the securities companies ranked 129 chart 562,010 securities companies operating income ranked 134 chart 572,010 annual securities company net profit ranked 138 chart 58 GEM listed companies to apply for a non-public offering of corporate bonds 156 Chart 59 China Securities Regulatory Commission Listed Company Merger and Reorganization Examination Committee Work Rules (2011 Amendment) 602,011 annual operating efficiency of CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. 157 Chart 166 Chart 61 CITIC Securities to complete the H shares listed 166 chart 622,011 annual Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. 174 charts, company operational effectiveness 168 charts 632,011 annual operating efficiency of Huatai Securities Co., Ltd. the 170 diagrams 642,011 annual operational effectiveness of GF Securities Co., Ltd. 172 chart 652,011 annual operating efficiency of China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. 662,011 annual Everbright Securities Co., Ltd. Operation effective 175 Chart 67 2009-2011 CSI cumulative transaction volume analysis 177 chart 68 2011 10 to the securities industry in December key indicators 178